General Politics Thread

Started by the-pi-guy, Jun 08, 2017, 12:22 PM

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Dr. Pezus

#195
Nov 04, 2020, 01:33 AM
Quote from: Xevross on Nov 04, 2020, 01:28 AMVery republican? Florida is the swingiest of swing states, Trump won it by 1.2% last time.

Georgia and NC both favouring Trump on NYT's needles now too.

For god's sake, its 2016 again.
Oh the stereotype made it seem like that.

Could mailed in votes swing things?

Xevross

#196
Nov 04, 2020, 01:35 AM
Quote from: Dr. Pezus on Nov 04, 2020, 01:33 AMOh the stereotype made it seem like that.

Could mailed in votes swing things?
Mailed in votes are what a lot of this is being based off.

the-pi-guy

#197
Nov 04, 2020, 02:03 AM
Quote from: Dr. Pezus on Nov 04, 2020, 01:33 AMOh the stereotype made it seem like that.

Could mailed in votes swing things?
The stereotype exists because FL has easy to access records. 

The state politically is basically The swing state. In 2000, Bush won by 0.009%. A race so close, it called for a recount.

In 2016, the race was also very close.

kitler53

#198
Nov 04, 2020, 02:07 AM
Quote from: Xevross on Nov 04, 2020, 01:28 AMVery republican? Florida is the swingiest of swing states, Trump won it by 1.2% last time.

Georgia and NC both favouring Trump on NYT's needles now too.

For god's sake, its 2016 again.
exactly.  
         

Featured Artist: Emily Rudd

Xevross

#199
Nov 04, 2020, 02:08 AM
On the other hand, this result in Allentown, PA points to a Biden landslide in the midwest if its not an error. Lehigh County, PA with full reporting:

 2016: Clinton 81k (50%), Trump 74k(45%)
 
 2020: Biden 285k (81%), Trump 66k (19%)

the-pi-guy

#200
Nov 04, 2020, 02:54 AM
Just assume it's 2016 again.

Maybe we will be pleasantly surprised.

Xevross

#201
Nov 04, 2020, 03:12 AM
Arizona looks good, hopefully Biden can actually hold against the election day vote there.

If he flips Arizona it still looks good.

Dr. Pezus

#202
Nov 04, 2020, 10:41 AM Last Edit: Nov 04, 2020, 10:49 AM by Dr. Pezus

Xevross

#203
Nov 04, 2020, 11:40 AM Last Edit: Nov 04, 2020, 11:42 AM by Xevross
Mail in votes seem to be saving us all.

Philadelphia reported 65k new mail vote counts, was 61k - 4k in favour of Biden. >200k more still to come in Philly and >1M in Penn. on the whole, Trump leads by 640k.

Detroit just reported 149k new mail votes, 140k - 9k in favour of Biden. Trump's lead down to 60k with lots more mail count still to come.

Wisconsin is on the brink of full reporting and it looks like Biden will win there thanks to the late mail report.

Georgia is waiting on ~10% of remaining vote, pretty much all mail-in from Atlanta and Suburbs. Biden could win there too, NYT gives him a 64% chance.

Dr. Pezus

#204
Nov 04, 2020, 11:49 AM
Quote from: Dr. Pezus on Nov 04, 2020, 01:33 AMCould mailed in votes swing things?

the-pi-guy

#205
Nov 04, 2020, 01:12 PM




Quote from: Dr. Pezus on Nov 04, 2020, 01:33 AMCould mailed in votes swing things?
Yes Pezus. Mailed in votes can swing things. I think in some respects it's swinging more than most people (on Era :P ) expected. Experts were saying it was pretty likely that Trump would be ahead on Election night, even if Biden would eventually win.

kitler53

#206
Nov 04, 2020, 01:41 PM
i feel like such shame this morning.  
         

Featured Artist: Emily Rudd

Dr. Pezus

#207
Nov 04, 2020, 02:17 PM
Quote from: kitler53 on Nov 04, 2020, 01:41 PMi feel like such shame this morning.  
Sleep well?

kitler53

#208
Nov 04, 2020, 02:35 PM
Quote from: Dr. Pezus on Nov 04, 2020, 02:17 PMSleep well?
not at all and i woke up to trump's declaration of victory and "mandiate" to stop counting ballots.  soo much stress, so much at stake.
         

Featured Artist: Emily Rudd

the-pi-guy

#209
Nov 04, 2020, 05:46 PM
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