Video Game Sales Thread

the-pi-guy · Nov 07, 2015, 04:24 AM

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 04:19 AMI think it's US and it's retail only. Even if we add digital sales, whether they be standalone or from the LE bundle, that is still a big drop.

That is my assumption too.

Aura7541 · Nov 07, 2015, 04:26 AM

Quote from: the-Pi-guy on Nov 07, 2015, 04:24 AMThat is my assumption too.

For reference, ODST launched to 1.5 million.

Halo 2, 3, Reach, and 4 all launched at 3.3 million.

the-pi-guy · Nov 07, 2015, 04:35 AM

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 04:26 AMFor reference, ODST launched to 1.5 million.

Halo 2, 3, Reach, and 4 all launched at 3.3 million.

Yeah. 1.4m, maybe 300k digital. (assuming about 20%) 1.7m in the US.
Then maybe another 300k worldwide?

Very poor, no matter what.

Aura7541 · Nov 07, 2015, 04:49 AM

Quote from: the-Pi-guy on Nov 07, 2015, 04:35 AMYeah. 1.4m, maybe 300k digital. (assuming about 20%) 1.7m in the US.
Then maybe another 300k worldwide?

Very poor, no matter what.

I'm going to assume 400K digital, where the vast majority of those sales came from the LE bundle. Add in 150K physical sales from the UK and we get 1.95-2.05 million without the ROTW. If we add your 300K ROTW assumption, total sales would be around 2.3 million.

In other news, Halo 5 vanished in the wake of Black Ops 3. Don't get carried away speculating how many BO3 bundles were sold, though.

And boy, is the ROTR deal not working out so well....

ethomaz · Nov 07, 2015, 05:14 AM

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 04:12 AMOh... oh dear.... (He's been verified by Bish)

NeoGAF - View Single Post - October 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes November 10th

That is my prediction 1.5/1.6m for NPD.

Quote from: the-Pi-guy on Nov 07, 2015, 04:35 AMYeah. 1.4m, maybe 300k digital. (assuming about 20%) 1.7m in the US.
Then maybe another 300k worldwide?

Very poor, no matter what.

Bundle can put it at 1.7m in US.

Legend · Nov 07, 2015, 05:20 AM

Halo 5 has one week on NPD.

Halo 3 was two weeks and Halo 4 was four weeks + BF. Even though both those games did 3.3 for the month, the drop for 5 isn't that bad.

Max King of the Wild · Nov 07, 2015, 05:31 AM

That's in line with playtime and what we see from UK. No way world is past 2m at retail if numbers are true.

Aura7541 · Nov 07, 2015, 05:34 AM

Quote from: Legend on Nov 07, 2015, 05:20 AMHalo 5 has one week on NPD.

Halo 3 was two weeks and Halo 4 was four weeks + BF. Even though both those games did 3.3 for the month, the drop for 5 isn't that bad.

However, at least from Abdiel's perspective, Black Ops 3 basically knocked the winds out of Halo 5's sails and Battlefront will be even bigger.

Legend · Nov 07, 2015, 05:34 AM

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 04:49 AMIn other news, Halo 5 vanished in the wake of Black Ops 3. Don't get carried away speculating how many BO3 bundles were sold, though.

Wow if Halo 5 opens with half the sales and has worse legs than previous games, things could really get ugly.

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 05:34 AMHowever, at least from Abdiel's perspective, Black Ops 3 basically knocked the winds out of Halo 5's sails and Battlefront will be even bigger.

Yeah the extra weeks would only add a few hundred k sales.

ethomaz · Nov 07, 2015, 05:36 AM

Quote from: Legend on Nov 07, 2015, 05:20 AMHalo 5 has one week on NPD.

Halo 3 was two weeks and Halo 4 was four weeks + BF. Even though both those games did 3.3 for the month, the drop for 5 isn't that bad.

Reach did 3.3m too.

Poor TR... poor SE... seems like nobody knows this game is releasing lol

Legend · Nov 07, 2015, 05:38 AM

Quote from: ethomaz on Nov 07, 2015, 05:36 AMReach did 3.3m too.

Poor TR... poor SE.

Yup, but I don't remember how many weeks Reach had

Halo 2 was 3.3 as well.

ethomaz · Nov 07, 2015, 05:40 AM

Quote from: Legend on Nov 07, 2015, 05:38 AMYup, but I don't remember how many weeks Reach had

Halo 2 was 3.3 as well.

It was launched in Sep 15... I guess 3 weeks (depends when the NPD ended).

But you can be sure over 70% of the sales was Week 1... something like that:

Week 1: 2.5m
Week 2: 0.6m
Week 3: 0.2m

ethomaz · Nov 07, 2015, 05:48 AM

More Abdiel.

"CoD came out, and Halo sales effectively stopped (Major, major hit)"

Halo legz going to....

PS. Sony did right in put Uncharted 4 next year.

Aura7541 · Nov 07, 2015, 05:52 AM

Quote from: ethomaz on Nov 07, 2015, 05:48 AMPS. Sony did right in put Uncharted 4 next year.

According to Kyoufu, Uncharted 4 might have been originally planned for a 2016 release, which begs the question.... why the fudge did Sony announce it for 2015 in the first place?

Legend · Nov 07, 2015, 05:56 AM

Quote from: Aura7541 on Nov 07, 2015, 05:52 AMAccording to Kyoufu, Uncharted 4 might have been originally planned for a 2016 release, which begs the question.... why the fudge did Sony announce it for 2015 in the first place?

Yeah I certainly wouldn't trust that to be correct.

2015 release might have been wishful thinking, but they'd only announce it if that was a target.