Movie Thread

[Xevross]

$300m crossed in China including Saturday, took 4 days... new record! Also a new record biggest single day in China with $82m estimated.

Also checking my comp again, OS-C now 51% up over Infinity War. Big drop on friday but that was to be expected. Friday itself still up 43% like for like, so still going very strong. I expect that's a percentage it might be able to hold at, we will see.

[the-pi-guy]

First movie to break $150 million day 1.

Amazing.

[Xevross]

First movie to break $150 million day 1.

Amazing.

Yeah and its not going to be joined by another movie for a very long time. Look at this chart

Best Opening True Fridays (i.e. Opening Friday sans Thursday Previews)

• Avengers: Endgame — 96.7 million
• Avengers: Infinity War — 67.3 million
• Jurassic World — 63.5 million
• Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 62.1 million
• Marvel's The Avengers — 62.1 million
• Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 59.7 million
• Avengers: Age of Ultron — 56.8 million
• Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 53.9 million
• Iron Man 3 — 53.3 million
• Incredibles 2 — 52.8 million

Like... what!?

If you rank the top 10 thursday previews of all time, Endgame is actually the second-least frontloaded (previews % of friday gross) behind IW, despite setting a new all time record for previews.

From BOP: Endgame has so far registered all-time single day records in NA, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Australia, New Zealand, The Philippines, Korea (admissions), UK, Brazil, Mexico, Vietnam, Egypt, Panama, Peru, Colombia, Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Paraguay, Trinidad, Ecuador, Uruguay, South Africa and UAE. It has also registered the highest all-time industry opening day in Indonesia, Malaysia, Netherlands, Greece, Portugal, Bosnia/Herz, Czech Rep, Serbia (non-local), Slovakia, Turkey, Ukraine, East Africa and West Africa. Every market saw openings above those Avengers: Infinity War when opening on the same day.

[Xevross]

Early numbers saturday looking $110m+ for Dom. Would be 14% up on true Friday despite cinemas being near capacity already, fantastic. Infinity War jumped 22% on saturday but of course there was plenty of room to accommodate that. If Endgame can also jump 22% and reach ~$118m then I have no idea what to even say about that.

Key will be Sunday onwards, if Endgame drops better than IW then we know its at capacity and doing as well as possible. If drops start to look better than IW then Avatar is in serious danger that's for sure.

[Legend]

I bought tickets for Tuesday. I'm a sucker for $5 Tuesdays lol.

[Xevross]

I bought tickets for Tuesday. I'm a sucker for $5 Tuesdays lol.

Cheap tuesdays are awesome indeed, I managed to get £5 tix for my second viewing due to a student discount, but there's a cinema near me that does £7 tix for all movies all the time anyway. Awesome deal, especially for London. We have had 2for1 on tuesdays in the UK for years so tuesday is massive.

Anyway, Rth says saturday is looking $107-111m, destroying saturday record by $25m on the low end and breaking the all time weekend record by over $7m before Sunday even begins. Not bad

From reports it sounds like supply of seats has pretty much hit the limit, so now we know what the real limit is. Sunday should hold well considering this.

[the-pi-guy]

I almost read a spoiler earlier.  

Someone was talking about Avengers 1, so I opened the spoiler, only to read the tag "Endgame spoilers" after it opened. So I scrolled away fast.

Have like 16 hours to go, avoiding spoilers.  

[the-pi-guy]

Poor Endgame.  

Above only Hulk in the US, below Ant man.

For shame.  /s.  

[Xevross]

Endgame officially smashes the opening weekend record for a single territory with $331.5M OW in China. This record is not going to last long... probably not even an hour  

Disney's official (under)estimates for the weekend incoming.

Exactly. Endgame is guaranteed $800m+ opening. People think a billion is in play but that's really, really, really tough  

More endgame presales talk! Its now the top preselling film ever in China. BOM's resident China experts are predicting $270m and $302m 5-day openings in China, even the lower of that would be incredible. Even so, its likely that these will end up being overestimates. IW was a $201m debut so anything $230m+ in China is great, $250m+ would be brilliant.

Just looking back on what expectations were  

[Xevross]

Disney going with $350M domestic and $1.209B global debut! Insane! (and way under the real values).

[Dr. Pezus]

Disney going with $350M domestic and $1.209B global debut! Insane! (and way under the real values)

Lol that's out of this world

[Xevross]

Lol that's out of this world

Yeah, I can't believe this even though we saw it heading here for the last day or so.

Actuals should come in about $10M higher for Dom as Disney have gone for an almost laughably low $84M Sunday (can't believe I just typed that). OS is always under as well, so WW actuals may be more like $1.23B for the global debut. Interestingly, with that figure matching Infinity War legs would land Endgame on exactly $3.0B.

The biggest openers:

US/Canada $350M
China $330.5M
UK $53.8M
Korea $47.4M
Mexico $33.1M
Australia $30.8M
Germany $26.9M
India $26.7M
Brazil $26M
France $24.2M
Italy $19M
Philippines $17.9M
Thailand $14.3M
Indonesia $14.1M
Spain $13.3M
Japan $13M
Thailand - $14.3M
Indonesia - $14.1M
Spain - $13.3M
Japan - $13.0M
Hong Kong - $12.5M
Taiwan - $12.3M

And another little factoid: Endgame is the 18th highest grossing movie of all time with that estimate.

[the-pi-guy]

Holy f.  


A monster of monstrous proportions.


Lol:

37   The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey   WB (NL)   $1,021.1   $303.0   29.7%   $718.1   70.3%   2012
131   Avengers: Endgame   BV   $1,015.7   $156.7   15.4%   $859.0   84.6%   2019
38   The Dark Knight   WB   $1,004.9   $535.2   53.3%   $469.7   46.7%   2008^

131st place.  


Disney has done well with Marvel.  If only DC had anything...  

[Xevross]

Holy f.  


A monster of monstrous proportions.


Lol:
131st place.  


Disney has done well with Marvel.  If only DC had anything...  

Haha yeah its funny seeing BOM mid-updates. 18th place all time after 5 days is mind blowing, should be 17th even with actuals.

This is what happens when you have a solid 10 year plan and don't rush, make 22 films with only two of them being arguably bad... and then cap it off with an incredible finale which fans and general audience alike love. Bravo Marvel and Kevin Feige.

DC need a Feige for themselves if they ever want to come close to pulling this off. Aquaman's $1.14b total proves their brand has the potential if they make a good movie that audiences really enjoy.

[Legend]

Disney going with $350M domestic and $1.209B global debut! Insane! (and way under the real values).

Wells that's just a bit above the previous holder  /s