NPD February 2016 - Results (PS4 ~405k, XB1 ~250k, WiiU ~70k)

Started by ethomaz, Mar 09, 2016, 02:10 AM

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ethomaz

Quote from: kitler53 on Mar 14, 2016, 03:22 PMlink please to where NPD said that.

what i thought i saw was leaks from people who have access to NPD suggest that.  i still think the math is bad.
It is on GAF OP that just have official NPD quotes withou any leak but I will find to you.

And FC4 second week was Black Friday... that is why it sold that much.

Primal quote from NPD dude.

QuoteUbisoft's Far Cry: Primal was the top game of February 2016 with greater sales than Far Cry 4 when adjusted for the number of days the games sold within their respective launch months," said Callahan.
February 2016 NPD: Far Cry, Fire Emblem, and Street Fighter fail to lift U.S. game spending | GamesBeat | Games | by Jeff Grubb

There is no bad math but just facts.

kitler53

Quote from: ethomaz on Mar 14, 2016, 03:32 PMIt is on GAF OP that just have official NPD quotes withou any leak but I will find to you.

And FC4 second week was Black Friday... that is why it sold that much.

Primal quote from NPD dude.
February 2016 NPD: Far Cry, Fire Emblem, and Street Fighter fail to lift U.S. game spending | GamesBeat | Games | by Jeff Grubb

There is no bad math but just facts.
From your link directly

"Ubisoft's Far Cry: Primal was the top game of February 2016 with greater sales than Far Cry 4 when adjusted for the number of days the games sold within their respective launch months," said Callahan.

that means very clearly that the math they did was:
FC4 sales per day = 670/11 = 60.9090
Multiply that by 4 days to "adjust for the number of days the games sold in their respective launch  =    243.6363

therefore...

363 FCprism > 243 FC4

...except that math has a massive assumption which is untrue because sales are not equally distributed over each of those days,.. sales are front loaded with a majority of sales for both FC4 and FCprimal occuring on day-1 of its release.

the math is bad and misleading.  that adjustment is pure battleship because it is based on a battleship assumption.
         

Featured Artist: Emily Rudd

Max King of the Wild

That math is exactly what mattrick did when PS4 and Xbox launched to claim Xbox>PS4... And rightfully got shame on for it

ethomaz

Quote from: kitler53 on Mar 14, 2016, 04:14 PMFrom your link directly

"Ubisoft's Far Cry: Primal was the top game of February 2016 with greater sales than Far Cry 4 when adjusted for the number of days the games sold within their respective launch months," said Callahan.

that means very clearly that the math they did was:
FC4 sales per day = 670/11 = 60.9090
Multiply that by 4 days to "adjust for the number of days the games sold in their respective launch  =    243.6363

therefore...

363 FCprism > 243 FC4

...except that math has a massive assumption which is untrue because sales are not equally distributed over each of those days,.. sales are front loaded with a majority of sales for both FC4 and FCprimal occuring on day-1 of its release.

the math is bad and misleading.  that adjustment is pure battleship because it is based on a battleship assumption.

I understood what you said now ::) thanks

Xevross

Quote from: kitler53 on Mar 14, 2016, 04:14 PMFrom your link directly

"Ubisoft's Far Cry: Primal was the top game of February 2016 with greater sales than Far Cry 4 when adjusted for the number of days the games sold within their respective launch months," said Callahan.

that means very clearly that the math they did was:
FC4 sales per day = 670/11 = 60.9090
Multiply that by 4 days to "adjust for the number of days the games sold in their respective launch  =    243.6363

therefore...

363 FCprism > 243 FC4

...except that math has a massive assumption which is untrue because sales are not equally distributed over each of those days,.. sales are front loaded with a majority of sales for both FC4 and FCprimal occuring on day-1 of its release.

the math is bad and misleading.  that adjustment is pure battleship because it is based on a battleship assumption.

Still I wonder if Far Cry Primal managed a better launch week than FC4. Since FC4 had BF its unclear. Whatever the case, Primal won't sell as much due to releasing at this time of year.

kitler53

Quote from: Max King of the Wild on Mar 14, 2016, 04:25 PMThat math is exactly what mattrick did when PS4 and Xbox launched to claim Xbox>PS4... And rightfully got shame on for it
Quote from: ethomaz on Mar 14, 2016, 04:53 PMI understood what you said now ::) thanks
etho - is it because you read max's very well worded comment?  lol

great observation max!
         

Featured Artist: Emily Rudd

ethomaz

Quote from: kitler53 on Mar 14, 2016, 05:53 PMetho - is it because you read max's very well worded comment?  lol
No. It was more like I was thinking they compared actual first week of sales and not did avg. per day math.

ethomaz

This month full of leaks...

Quote from: creamsugarLTD

TV ~ 187.6
OUYA ~ 67.8
SHIELD ~ 30.5

Legend


ethomaz


Legend