COVID-19

Started by the-pi-guy, Mar 10, 2020, 04:46 AM

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the-pi-guy

Best buy: paid extra hourly for coming in, totally optional to work.  

Walmart: we are starting the day earlier for the seniors and closing earlier for cleaning.  :P

the-pi-guy

Looking at the break down that Italy has for the disease:

There's a stark contrast between younger and older people, not just in deaths but also cases.  This is a little outdated but I doubt it changed much.  

Above the age of 50, makes up 75% of all cases.  This suggests to me that symptoms are very mild for people under 50, and that they are not being diagnosed at all.  So the true numbers are probably higher than we think.  It could be from all kinds of causes, but this is what seems most likely.  

My speculation seems backed up by the death rates.  Which again, show that death rates grow by age.  



It is interesting, and a bit relieving for me that the disease seems to have a very strong age preference.  


I know a lot of diseases affect the old and the young due to immune systems not being developed, but this seems like it almost exclusively affects the elderly.  

the-pi-guy

probably not.  cities will always be harder hit than rual.  trump supporters are inheritaly at lower risk than democrates.   it's probably part of why there is a big partisan divide on this issue,.. yeah a bit of drinking the trump cool aid but also a guy on a farm where the nearest neighbor is 1/2 a mile, the nearest town is 5 miles, and the town only has 10,000 total.    ..their whole lives is more "socially distant" then mine is right now despite the shelter in place order.
I wonder if age or urban vs rural is a better predictor for political partisanship.

kitler53

I wonder if age or urban vs rural is a better predictor for political partisanship.
in today's political environment i think location is a far bigger indicator of political association than age.  cities are overwhelmingly democrat.  rural is overwhelmingly republican.  

neither is like 100% mind you but the split by location can easily skew above the 75/25 range.  this is why conservatives have been soo effective at gerrymandering.
       

the-pi-guy

US added 17,000 cases today.

This whole thing is iced.

kitler53

US added 17,000 cases today.

This whole thing is iced.
What?!?!

...i read 18,058.
       

the-pi-guy

What?!?!

...i read 18,058.
They were still counting.  
Final total is apparently over 20,000.  

the-pi-guy






the-pi-guy


the-pi-guy

While it's hard to compare a day to day basis, we really need data on a weekly basis, here are some things that are hopefully good news:

Italy: recoveries have gone up this past week, new cases has remained relatively stable.  In raw numbers, not even percentage wise, so the news seems even better.

US: new cases also seems to have tapered down some.  We were seeing 30+% new cases, now down around 23
Trump is also seeing an approval decline

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