MC betting general discussion

[Legend]

Active:
Super Smash Bros Ultimate: bet on the metacritic

Pending:
Call of Duty: Black Ops 4: bet on the metacritic
Starlink: Battle for Atlas: bet on the metacritic
Red Dead Redemption 2: bet on the metacritic
Call of Cthulhu: bet on the metacritic
Hitman 2: bet on the metacritic
Tetris Effect: bet on the metacritic
Spyro Reignited Trilogy: bet on the metacritic
Battlefield V: bet on the metacritic
Fallout 76: bet on the metacritic
Pokemon Let's Go: bet on the metacritic

Archived:
Astro Bot Rescue Mission: bet on the metacritic 90
Assassin's Creed Odyssey: bet on the metacritic 83
Super Mario Party: bet on the metacritic 76
Forza Horizon 4: bet on the metacritic 92 (58 reviews) 92 oc (54 reviews) 92


Scores:
Legend: 262
Kerotan: 222
Dr. Pezus: 161
the-Pi-guy: 147
Xevross: 75
nnodley: 25
Cute Pikachu: -25
Ludicrous Speed: -25



This thread will be for keeping track of all of the prediction threads and keeping track of how well all of us are doing. Also it can be used for general discussion about this stuff.

[the-pi-guy]

To be honest, I feel like it's weird that in the scheme of things the middle doesn't matter.  

Take this ludicrous example:
50, 78, 80
50, 52, 80

Game gets a 79, both people get the same points.  

Now you might be thinking, that doesn't matter!  

Or you might be thinking, "how can I fix this?"  
And boy do I have the solution for you.  

(100-(high-low)) /
abs(actual - mid) + 1

This has the benefit, that if you get the score exactly on:
high=low = mid=actual, you get 100 points.  

Really big ranges will give you a smaller score, and the closer your mid is to the actual will give you a bigger score.

If you don't want decimals, just take the floor!  

[Legend]

To be honest, I feel like it's weird that in the scheme of things the middle doesn't matter.  

Take this ludicrous example:
50, 78, 80
50, 52, 80

Game gets a 79, both people get the same points.  

Now you might be thinking, that doesn't matter!  

Or you might be thinking, "how can I fix this?"  
And boy do I have the solution for you.  

(100-(high-low)) /
abs(actual - mid) + 1

This has the benefit, that if you get the score exactly on:
high=low = mid=actual, you get 100 points.  

Really big ranges will give you a smaller score, and the closer your mid is to the actual will give you a bigger score.

If you don't want decimals, just take the floor!  

With the current rules, only the closest person gets points. The middle is the most important prediction since it's the only way to get points.

[the-pi-guy]

With the current rules, only the closest person gets points. The middle is the most important prediction since it's the only way to get points.

Oh, I misread it.  

[the-pi-guy]

RESULTS WILL NOW BE SCORED SO THAT AN OVERALL WINNER CAN BE DETERMINED AT THE END OF THE YEAR. IF YOU HAVE THE CLOSEST PREDICTION, YOU EARN POINTS: SCORE +=100-(high prediction-low prediction)*2. IF THE FINAL MC FALLS OUTSIDE YOUR HIGH AND LOW PREDICTIONS, YOU LOSE POINTS: SCORE -=50.


I kind of put the two things together and thought that if the score was in the range, they get those points, and if it isn't they lose 50.  But that makes sense.  

Not as cool as my scoring, but eh.  

[Legend]

Rules update

-25 points for the metacritic score falling outside your range, used to be -50.

+25 points if your middle prediction is within 5 points of the metacritic score.

Closest person/people still get the bonus based off their range.

I have updated the OP with the new rankings.

[Xevross]

Rules update

-25 points for the metacritic score falling outside your range, used to be -50.

+25 points if your middle prediction is within 5 points of the metacritic score.

Closest person/people still get the bonus based off their range.

I have updated the OP with the new rankings.

Awesome!

[Dr. Pezus]

Wohoo I got points!

[Legend]

When should I make the RDR2 thread?

[Xevross]

When should I make the RDR2 thread?

Any time, reviews are a week away.

[Legend]

I'm thinking Astro, Assassin's Creed, and Super Mario Party are all ready to be called. Anyone think we should wait more?

[Dr. Pezus]

I'm thinking Astro, Assassin's Creed, and Super Mario Party are all ready to be called. Anyone think we should wait more?

Nah should be good to go!

[Legend]

Scores are updated. The race is heating up!

[Dr. Pezus]

Scores are updated. The race is heating up!

Interesting that Xev isn't winning!

[Xevross]

Interesting that Xev isn't winning!

I would be if we counted the ones we did earlier in the year  

PS exclusives I'm very good at, the rest not so much.