Predict the Console Sales by Sku

Started by kitler53, Sep 10, 2020, 03:51 PM

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kitler53

Not that we will ever get hard numbers to verify this but... in which order to you predict each next gen sku to sell in:

Too many options to put into a poll just to reply your answer in the format of:

            XBSS > PS5 DE > PS5 > XBSX


i think ps5 will still outsell xbox but i think ps5 and ps5 de will be close to a 50/50 split in sales.   I think xbss will destroy xbsx since it's almost half the price and just as powerful afterall..


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Xevross

PS5 > XBSS > PS5DE > XBSX

This is hard anyway because we might get pro models and whatnot down the line.

Legend

I have no clue.

I think both xbox and playstation are doing a bad job selling next gen but the game market is so healthy right now.


I don't think xbox series x will do much better than xbox one x at launch. Both are almost the exact same sell: pay $499 to play the same games better. There will be a few next gen exclusives but will that be offset by players going with pc instead?

Series s is great for 2020 and 2021. I think it could sell a lot but it could also flop. Just depends on if it feels like a true next gen option or is like wii u.

Ps5 should outsell ps5 digital at launch. Will swap over the next few years. Need to know price and games to really know how it will do.

kitler53

PS5 > XBSS > PS5DE > XBSX

This is hard anyway because we might get pro models and whatnot down the line.
just forget about the possible pro model.  make your prediction in context of the market up until any new console enters the market so the first 3 years.


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kitler53

I have no clue.

I think both xbox and playstation are doing a bad job selling next gen but the game market is so healthy right now.


I don't think xbox series x will do much better than xbox one x at launch. Both are almost the exact same sell: pay $499 to play the same games better. There will be a few next gen exclusives but will that be offset by players going with pc instead?

Series s is great for 2020 and 2021. I think it could sell a lot but it could also flop. Just depends on if it feels like a true next gen option or is like wii u.

Ps5 should outsell ps5 digital at launch. Will swap over the next few years. Need to know price and games to really know how it will do.
yeah, i really think xbss is MS's true next gen console at this point (whether that was MS's intent or not) and the xbsx is just the "pro" model.   I think a 70/30 to 80/20 split is likely with xbss slaughtering xbsx.

i think ps5 and ps5 DE is going to be a completely different story.   obviously we don't know the prices yet but the hardware is identical other than a disc drive and I imagine the prices will be reasonably close... much less than the $200 difference with xbox anyways.   should lead to a much more even break near the 50/50 mark.




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Dr. Pezus

Worldwide?

PS5>PS5 DE>XBSS>XBSX

Xevross

just forget about the possible pro model.  make your prediction in context of the market up until any new console enters the market so the first 3 years.
Yeah that's what I did.

the-pi-guy

So many variables.

- how much the companies push each system.
- how much consumer interest there actually is.
- prices of the PS5 models

I'd assume at least in the US something like:
XSS > PS5 DE > PS5 > XSX

Maybe PS5 DE > PS5 > XSS > XSX if Sony pushes hard.


Crazy thought but I'd bet there are going to be a few uninformed people who buy an XSX just because they think that's MS's next gen console.  


A very very small number though.

Xevross

So many variables.

- how much the companies push each system.
- how much consumer interest there actually is.
- prices of the PS5 models

I'd assume at least in the US something like:
XSS > PS5 DE > PS5 > XSX

Maybe PS5 DE > PS5 > XSS > XSX if Sony pushes hard.


Crazy thought but I'd bet there are going to be a few uninformed people who buy an XSX just because they think that's MS's next gen console.  


A very very small number though.
XSX is Microsoft's next gen console

kitler53

So many variables.

- how much the companies push each system.
- how much consumer interest there actually is.
- prices of the PS5 models

I'd assume at least in the US something like:
XSS > PS5 DE > PS5 > XSX

Maybe PS5 DE > PS5 > XSS > XSX if Sony pushes hard.


Crazy thought but I'd bet there are going to be a few uninformed people who buy an XSX just because they think that's MS's next gen console.  


A very very small number though.
hence the request for a prediction.  xD

The way the media is reporting this people could easily think the xbss is just a discless xbsx.  if this was on the market today i'd bet it wouldn't be a very, very small number.   it really amazing me how massively inadequate the ps5 was compared to the xbsx just last week and now the xbss is being hailed as the savior of next gen.  


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kitler53

XSX is Microsoft's next gen console
no.  it's not. 


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Xevross

no.  it's not.
Yes it is....? Lol.

X S X. Xbox Series X.

kitler53

Yes it is....? Lol.

X S X. Xbox Series X.
right, but no.  their next gen system is X B S S.  Xbox Series S.   xbsx is their xbox one x or ps4 pro.


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Xevross

right, but no.  their next gen system is X B S S.  Xbox Series S.   xbsx is their xbox one x or ps4 pro.
What? Xbox Series X is the main next gen system, Xbox Series S is the cheap half next gen option.

If you're referring to XB1X with acronyms then that's the same its always been and doesn't have an S in it.

Legend

hence the request for a prediction.  xD

The way the media is reporting this people could easily think the xbss is just a discless xbsx.  if this was on the market today i'd bet it wouldn't be a very, very small number.   it really amazing me how massively inadequate the ps5 was compared to the xbsx just last week and now the xbss is being hailed as the savior of next gen.  
It will be interesting to see. I'd assume by launch most buyers will understand but who knows.