Yeah I don't know how good Lion King will do. My mom was planning to see it Sunday but reviews have changed her mind (worried it'll be another number Dumbo). Can't get more anecdotal than this haha.All depends on WOM. If general audiences love it then people like your mom will probably convinced to go. Box office wise its made a great start pretty much everywhere its opened so far and we'll find out about domestic soon. Anything $180m+ for OW is very good imo, $200m+ would be great.
TLK is going to debut in a record 4725 theaters in North America, taking away the record of Endgame (4662). Top 4 theater numbers will be TLK, Endgame, Spidey FFH and TS4. Either there's been some new theater expansion going on in the US or disney/MCU is really using their muscle this year. That TLK number is almost 200 above the pre-Endgame record. Insane jump really for a market as settled as US/Canada.
Endgame may be announced as new #1 all time this weekend as well, with Spidey FFH and Aladdin bearing down on $1b its exciting times! Gonna make a guesstimate of $1.6-1.7B for TLK before numbers start to be reported in earnest. See how that goes, I'm assuming general audience loves it.