Yeah but you'd have to model the curves off something. Well, of course it would be a gaussian but what exact shape, who knows.That's not what I was meaning, but it's probably way more useful so I'll take it!
Okay fine. So looking at publications on meta, 74 seems to be the average. Now the majority of games are less than 98, so I set standard deviation to 8.
P(x>93)=0.00877 or 0.877% are higher than 93. P(x>94)=0.00621, or 0.621%. P(x>95)=0.00433, or 0.433%.
s.d. is probably different but eh that's good enough. There you go.
0.256% of games at 94, and 0.621% of games are above them. 0.188% of games at 95 meta, and 0.433% above them.
Edit: Set s.d. to 7 and you get 0.118% at 94, 0.214% above them. 0.079% at 95 and 0.135% above them.
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