Humanoid Robot Progress Tracker

Started by Legend, Mar 01, 2024, 06:04 PM

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Legend

Mar 01, 2024, 06:04 PM Last Edit: Oct 18, 2024, 11:03 PM by Legend
RobotVideosTodayPotential
Tesla Optimus

By far the furthest along. First humanoid robot ever to be demoed with the public like that.

Software is pretty good. Nothing revolutionary but it has started to eclipse demos from other companies.		#1 robot. Tesla has the best mass production experience, the best vertical integration opportunity, and has a lot of AI potential.
Boston Dynamics
Really awesome looking demos but Atlas is custom built just for demos. Really expensive, short battery life, and scripted.

Spot is a good robot dog.

Update: reborn with new robot. Very exciting!		Very likely they'll be shut down just like Asimo. They've made incredible robots but I doubt they'll be able to adapt to AI driven commercial robots.

Update: reborn with new robot. Very exciting!
1X
New robot has finally been shown. Looks good.My opinion on them has improved a lot. The new bot is technically worse than others but its "safe for hugs" body could see it find a decent niche in the short term.
Agility
Simple robot. No hands or grips, just pads. Very clean though.

Focused on mass production and working with Amazon.

These demos feel kinda useless.		#2, just behind Optimus. I think Digit will find its position in the market as a cheaper alternative unless Tesla can undercut them on price.
Figure
Reminds me of Tesla's old prototype.Has money, has potential, but nothing stands out.
EDT: new bot has been revealed. Looks nice but still behind others, they are still an underdog imo.
SanctuaryNo legs yet. Has really great fingers but it's bulky.Impressive demo that is better than anyone else has shown. Can they package the robot into a clean form factor, mass produce, and extend their software to full body tasks?
Mentee
Reminds me of a star wars droidI don't know anything about these people
Unitree
Great speedSeems it'll be popular in the east.
Fourier
..
Apptronik
..
Kepler
..
LimX
..
PNDbotics
..
UBtech
..
Xpeng
..
AppleNothing.They have talked about entering this race.


Legend

#1
Mar 01, 2024, 06:18 PM
Chinese robots are harder to follow but here's a cool demo that just dropped.

Legend

#2
Mar 11, 2024, 07:51 PM

Wow is this kinda stupid. I thought they'd be, you know, working. Instead it's just the robots on a static loop moving empty tubs back and forth.

They even make mistake from time to time and a human fixes them. Battery life seems to be about an hour which isn't too bad.

Legend

#3
Apr 21, 2024, 05:11 PM
I updated the op and plan to use this thread as a general robot thread. With so many companies working on them now, it can be hard to keep track.

Legend

#4
Apr 24, 2024, 02:23 AM
Tesla Optimus is doing test work in the lab, and will maybe do useful real work for Tesla car production later this year.

Will maybe go on sale to external companies late 2025, just a guess mentioned during the Q&A today.


Not sure how to compare that with the trial programs of other companies. Is the current stuff in the lab equivalent to the trial programs others are working towards, or is full integration more comparable? The demos people have released sure look more like busywork than real work.

Legend

#5
Apr 27, 2024, 06:42 AM
New version of sanctuary's bot

And a new robot out from nowhere.

Very very impressive if it's not a misleading video. Reminds me a lot of Stanford's robotic work, but the arms are very quick. No legs so it won't go in the op yet.

Legend

#6
May 05, 2024, 05:02 PM Last Edit: May 05, 2024, 06:52 PM by Legend

Pretty dang slow with its hand movements. I wonder if this is a problem with it learning from teleoperation which would only give it slow samples to learn from.

Great to see it actually in a real factory setting. So that's what they meant by test work in the lab. They really might have it doing useful work in the factory before the end of the year.

The long walk at the end shows some cool things. That first turn is the sharpest we've ever seen it turn and it looked really smooth. Other bots in that situation might have had to do a weird shuffle.

edt:


Pretty impressive that this is all end to end. That's the big one that most of these other companies are missing. End to end will make slower progress in the early days but eventually the bot can start building general knowledge and handle novel situations.

They are trying to take the same approach as self driving, but I do worry that their teleoperation setup will hold them back. Humans are great at driving cars but humans suck at remote controlling robots. I wonder how they'll make it better than the input data.

edt 2:


Nvidia guy also thinks teleoperation could hold them back.

Also 22 degree of freedom hand, wow. Sanctuary AI is the current leader with 20 degrees of freedom in each hand yet Optimus already seemed comparable to them. A 22 dof Optimus hand will be really crazy if it keeps all its current strengths. Could be capable of everything a human hand could do.

Legend

#7
May 13, 2024, 11:41 PM

Unitree got a cheap new robot. Probably has Boston Dynamics sweating. This thing looks very similar in capabilities yet it is further along in development and an order of magnitude cheaper.

Legend

#8
Jun 01, 2024, 06:45 AM

1X is losing ground. Lots of small things in this video that make it feel awkward instead of magical. No wonder the youtube videos for them keep dropping.

Hopefully they can demo their new robot soon and surprise us.

Legend

#9
Jun 13, 2024, 10:53 PM
Tesla has 2 bots working in the factory today. Hoping to have gen 3 around the end of the year, and ~1,000 working in the factory by the end of 2025.

Legend

#10
Jun 14, 2024, 06:26 AM

I've been waiting for someone to train bots this way. Cool to see it in action.

kitler53

#11
Jun 20, 2024, 02:32 PM
1k!

       

Featured Artist: Merry Christmas!!

Legend

#12
Aug 06, 2024, 04:31 PM Last Edit: Aug 06, 2024, 11:02 PM by Legend

New robot from Figure. Looks a lot more production ready, but outside of hands the video doesn't really show any improvements in capabilities. The factory work shown in the video was also demoed with their old robot. Has funky shoulders, I want to learn more about those.

Impressive how many they have in the video. They could scale up really quickly.

edt:

Hopefully this doesn't age too poorly. From the outside Figure's bot isn't even as good as Tesla's bot from last year. I wish today's reveal also included a new demo.

Legend

#13
Aug 07, 2024, 12:37 AM

Haha engineer at Tesla responded.

Legend

#14
Aug 21, 2024, 04:46 PM

Disney's not going to manufacture and sell robots, but they're by far the leaders in "artistic" robotics. Can't wait for them to have free roaming audioanimatronic Navi.
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