Video Game Sales Thread

Started by Xevross, Aug 14, 2014, 02:56 PM

previous topic - next topic

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Go Down

Dr. Pezus

It was from a private message.
November 2018 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, December 11th | ResetEra




One a little lower
Hmm maybe Ben quit his gamestop job. Doesn't expressly deny he is Ben

Xevross

Btw. Chris =/= Benji in that he doesn't remotely seem to have access to as much information as he sometimes acts like he has. He seems to "know" some japanese retail sources or knows some places where those people share their insights but that appears to be about it.

Also he's a giant bag but that's besides the point.
Well yes that's obvious from what Pikachu said about his knowledge. Its still useful knowledge to tap into though.

Hmm maybe Ben quit his gamestop job. Doesn't expressly deny he is Ben
I seem to remember Ben being a low quality poster and a bit of a crustard, Benji doesn't post in a remotely similar way. They're definitely different people.

Someone from Resetera calling the Vgchartz forum a dungvoid is a funny case of the pot calling the kettle black. Both forums are overrun by morons, fanboys, trolls and geniunely garbage threads.
You say that, but I decided to read a bit of chertz before and my god has that place gone to complete shame. Quality of discussion in sales threads on Era is absolutely miles better. Chertz is just full of arguing and fighting over things that are either insignificant or people being super dumb about something, or just people being massive fanboys. I'm with Benji in the remind me never to go there again camp.

Cute Pikachu

The Vizioneck Nintendo Fanboy!

Switch Software Sales Guide:
http://vizioneck.com/forum/index.php?topic=5895.msg218699#new

Cute Pikachu

Probably because he comes across as entitled and never seems to be able to say anything positive about playstation. I still like him though.

-W⚓.
Ahh I could see that.
The Vizioneck Nintendo Fanboy!

Switch Software Sales Guide:
http://vizioneck.com/forum/index.php?topic=5895.msg218699#new

Xevross

Red Dead Redemption 2 becomes the first non-fifa game to pass 1m in Germany this gen.

ethomaz

Well Switch has a shot at staying ahead, needs 3.7M in the next 5 months.
Well you can call that a shot :D

Even if it do over performing sales with combined Jan-Mar having over 1 million... you still needs 2.7m in December.

Xevross

Dec 19, 2018, 12:25 PM Last Edit: Dec 19, 2018, 12:34 PM by Xevross
Well you can call that a shot :D

Even if it do over performing sales with combined Jan-Mar having over 1 million... you still needs 2.7m in December.
That would be 4 months, but I get your point :p

2.5M December and 300k a month for Jan-Apr would do it. Like I said though it'd be crazy if it happens. The post-April comparison favours PS4 anyway, so there's no need for Switch to be ahead. If its ahead at the end of March then its still ahead when they're placed on roughly equal footing. Last March there was only 100k between them launch aligned.

Edit: well here's Switch's totals for those months a year ago

Dec: 1.5M (any more accurate numbers out there?)
Jan: 268k
Feb: 279k
March: 311k
April: 171k

So 300k a month for those four months doesn't seem too unreachable this year, April just needs to be much better. I could see something like 2.3M in December and then 350k a month for Jan- April being the roughly most likely route, if it does happen. 2D Mario should help with the earlier months, and then if Animal Crossing makes April it should be all good. My current prediction is something like 1.9M Dec and then 300k average over those four months for total 3.1M, falling 600k short of PS4 launch aligned.

Xevross

Media Create Sales: Week 50, 2018 (Dec 10 - Dec 16)

01./01. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 406.617 / 1.627.152 (-67%)
02./00. [PS4] God Eater 3 # <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.12.13} (¥8.200) - 150.523 / NEW
03./00. [PS4] Judgment <ADV> (Sega) {2018.12.13} (¥8.290) - 148.246 / NEW
04./02. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 108.773 / 1.121.020 (+16%)
05./03. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 97.529 / 587.295 (+40%)
06./04. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 29.422 / 1.911.174 (+40%)
07./06. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 27.625 / 431.410 (+63%)
08./05. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 27.035 / 2.767.712 (+42%)
09./09. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 14.417 / 1.880.842 (+50%)
10./10. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 13.670 / 1.195.951 (+43%)
11./12. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} (¥5.980) - 12.027 / 670.296 (+57%)
12./00. [NSW] Senran Kagura Peach & Reflex Limited W Pack <Peach Ball: Senran Kagura \ Senran Kagura Reflexions: Character Full Set> <ETC> (Marvelous) {2018.12.13} (¥9.960) - 10.321 / NEW
13./15. [3DS] Luigi's Mansion <ACT> (Nintendo) {2018.11.08} (¥4.980) - 9.575 / 64.375 (+48%)
14./17. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} (¥6.100) - 8.063 / 244.283 (+58%)
15./08. [PS4] Battlefield V <ACT> (Electronic Arts) {2018.11.20} (¥7.800) - 6.846 / 148.170 (-35%)
16./18. [3DS] Pokemon Ultra Sun / Ultra Moon <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2017.11.17} (¥4.980) - 6.665 / 1.780.187 (+35%)
17./14. [PS4] Call of Duty: Black Ops IIII <ACT> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2018.10.12} (¥7.900) - 6.536 / 492.033 (+0%)
18./20. [NSW] Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 03: Drive Kit <EDU> (Nintendo) {2018.09.14} (¥6.980) - 5.938 / 49.389 (+65%)
19./22. [NSW] Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker <ADV> (Nintendo) {2018.07.13} (¥3.980) - 5.640 / 154.936
20./19. [NSW] Mario Tennis Aces <SPT> (Nintendo) {2018.06.22} (¥5.980) - 5.318 / 381.800 (+48%)

Top 20

NSW - 14
PS4 - 4
3DS - 2

HARDWARE
Code:
Code: [Select]
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|System |  This Week |  Last Week |  Last Year |     YTD    |  Last YTD  |     LTD     |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|  NSW  |    281.213 |    281.222 |    221.210 |  3.080.694 |  2.908.416 |   6.393.313 |
| PS4 # |     81.594 |     74.496 |     62.965 |  1.577.808 |  1.674.848 |   7.470.211 |
| 3DS # |     20.037 |     14.272 |     55.513 |    495.275 |  1.544.583 |  24.318.054 |
| PSV # |      2.647 |      2.484 |      9.049 |    170.215 |    322.802 |   5.958.095 |
| XB1 # |      1.051 |        149 |      2.307 |     15.552 |     11.775 |     103.988 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|  ALL  |    386.542 |    372.623 |    351.163 |  5.339.544 |  6.498.304 |  44.243.661 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| XB1 X |        847 |        117 |        132 |     10.853 |      2.119 |      13.027 |
|  XB1  |        204 |         32 |      2.175 |      4.699 |      9.656 |      90.961 |
|PS4 Pro|     19.014 |     24.046 |     17.804 |    446.844 |    380.444 |     987.150 |
|  PS4  |     62.580 |     50.450 |     45.161 |  1.130.964 |  1.294.404 |   6.483.061 |
|  PSV  |      2.647 |      2.484 |      9.049 |    170.215 |    322.802 |   5.772.644 |
|n-2DSLL|     14.510 |     10.021 |     31.653 |    305.265 |    490.562 |     861.623 |
|  2DS  |        395 |        620 |      4.324 |     33.635 |    194.922 |     527.858 |
|n-3DSLL|      5.132 |      3.631 |     19.115 |    156.375 |    804.389 |   4.829.249 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+



Xevross

Dec 19, 2018, 01:08 PM Last Edit: Dec 19, 2018, 01:23 PM by Xevross
That Switch consistency, holy crud. Anyway, looking good for a new record week next week if it held exactly flat from Smash launch. Smash itself had a good hold.

Nice little boost for PS4 on the back of those two new launches. Very good week overall!

Btw. Chris =/= Benji in that he doesn't remotely seem to have access to as much information as he sometimes acts like he has. He seems to "know" some japanese retail sources or knows some places where those people share their insights but that appears to be about it.

Also he's a giant bag but that's besides the point.
Chris gave more accurate early numerical estimates this week than Benji ever has, just saying.

BananaKing

So after November numbers, does anyone still believe that switch can do 20 million this physical year?

Xevross

So after November numbers, does anyone still believe that switch can do 20 million this physical year?
You say that as if November numbers made it look less likely for Switch?

Cute Pikachu

So after November numbers, does anyone still believe that switch can do 20 million this physical year?
Yup. Smash Bros putting in that work.
The Vizioneck Nintendo Fanboy!

Switch Software Sales Guide:
http://vizioneck.com/forum/index.php?topic=5895.msg218699#new

Xevross

Yup. Smash Bros putting in that work.
We'll know a lot better once we have December numbers to see exactly how much HW Smash moved. For now I'm saying yes. They might have to do what Sony did with their 20M PS4 year and stuff the channels a bit to ship exactly that 20.0M number, but they're gonna reach it for sure.

Kerotan

Ps4 sales excellent in Japan. Traditional home consoles live on! 7.5m next week and it will end the year almost flat compared to last. That's a few years of absolutely consistency over there now. If 2019 gets the long overdue price cut it will be no different.

Road to 10m here we go.

BananaKing

You say that as if November numbers made it look less likely for Switch?
Yes?

It needed not a great November, but an extremely massive November and December to reach the numbers needed.

So far it's US numbers are behind all PS4 numbers in the USA for the past 4 years. Its YoY up in Japan, but not by massive amount. Its up in a good amount in the UK, but again behind PS4 numbers.

The reason I mention PS4 numbers because I'm using them as a reference point. PS4's biggest holiday season was at 9.7 million, and that number is no where near enough for switch to reach its 20 million forecast.

It needs 12~ million to reach that forecast, and that's a number that even the Wii didn't do.

So far it's trailer behind the PS4 in every major market with the exception of Japan, which will no doubt help move a lot of Switches, but It needs to do what, 7~ million world wide in the month of December alone? I'm just not seeing these numbers happening

Go Up