Sony generally has a show every 2-3 months, usually a State of Play.
So they're due for something. Whether it's a 20-30 minute state of Play, or a 40-60+ minute showcase, who knows?
i could see 2 show incoming.
GoW will almost definetly get a dedicated state of play like GT did earlier this year.
But also sony has got to have something schedule for 1H of 2023. A "showcase" of various titles coming soon including some new announcements is probably coming too. that showcase would not be a blowout E3 kind of showcase but i'm sure they've got things to show off.
- i'd bet there is another couple of indie titles coming to extra/premium day-1worth highlighting (like stray)
- third party "partnerships" like forespoken or hogwarts or whatever
- psvr 2
- whatever sony views as their next most import title after GoW ships. even though sony is announcing most things close to release the next "big thing" will be announced with a longer marketing cycle.