Republicans out-voted Dems by 220k in 5 and a half hours in Florida, they hold a voted registration lead of 106k now. This is missing a few counties for election day numbers, Miami Dade included.
According to polling averages, any GOP+3 environment or bluer favours a Biden win in Florida.
If the current pace continues we're looking at total votes of:
GOP 4.41M (40.0%)
Dem 4.05M (36.6%)
NPA 2.60M (23.5%)
However the GOP hourly advantage is trending downards and this is missing some Dem favouring counties.So this will slightly overestimate the GOP lead. So yeah, good old Florida.
According to polling averages, any GOP+3 environment or bluer favours a Biden win in Florida.
If the current pace continues we're looking at total votes of:
GOP 4.41M (40.0%)
Dem 4.05M (36.6%)
NPA 2.60M (23.5%)
However the GOP hourly advantage is trending downards and this is missing some Dem favouring counties.So this will slightly overestimate the GOP lead. So yeah, good old Florida.