hmm i dunno there are more exciting games coming than at release for both consoles, but probably a bit better launch stock too...
i might take that bet what are the terms?
i ran the numbers on wiiU - it sold 2.25M it's first holiday and 2.02M it's second. thing is wiiU, like Xbox One, had a fantastic initial launch and than was really flat after the holiday.
Xbox One sold 3.05M it's first holiday but only 1.98M since. historical trends would suggest that xbox should sell about 1.98M this holiday give or take 20% or so. even in a very optimistic holiday multiplier xbox would be lucky to hit 2.5 million this holiday. to get above 3M seems impossible to me even with the new tier two countries.
..is my logic.
as far as terms. no idea. i'm fine with a gentleman's bet but if you want to control my sig or something we can do that too.