NPD March 2017 Results (SW 906k 2nd Best Launch Ever, PS4 ~390k, XB1 > 225k)

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Started by ethomaz, Apr 13, 2017, 01:23 PM

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ethomaz

Their forecast was 2 million. They could, and should have exceeded that
That can be true but I have my doubts due some shipment evidences...

Japan W0: 400k shipped
Japan W1: 50k shipped
Japan W2: 50k shipped
Japan W3: 50k shipped
Japan W4: 50k shipped

That in line for a 600k shipment in March for Japan alone... that means the actual Nintendo shipment is pretty low and possible less than 200k WW per week based in theses 50k.

That said that is the actual shipment WW for Switch in my view:

W0: 1200k
W1: 200k
W2: 200k
W3: 200k
W4: 200k

Even if the numbers are not exactly that... I don't believe my estimate is off by 50k in any week... 2m is pretty safe right now and I believe even 2.5m is possible but more than that it is really hard.

With the actual stock situation in US I believe they shipped less than 800k for there this fiscal year.