MC betting general discussion

Started by Legend, Oct 02, 2018, 04:04 PM

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Legend

Oct 02, 2018, 04:04 PM Last Edit: Oct 14, 2018, 09:39 PM by Legend
Active:
Call of Duty: Black Ops 4: bet on the metacritic
Starlink: Battle for Atlas: bet on the metacritic

Pending:
Astro Bot Rescue Mission: bet on the metacritic
Assassin's Creed Odyssey: bet on the metacritic
Super Mario Party: bet on the metacritic

Archived:
Forza Horizon 4: bet on the metacritic 92 (58 reviews) 92 oc (54 reviews) 92


Scores:
Legend: 86
Ludicrous Speed: -50
Kerotan: -50



This thread will be for keeping track of all of the prediction threads and keeping track of how well all of us are doing. Also it can be used for general discussion about this stuff.

the-pi-guy

To be honest, I feel like it's weird that in the scheme of things the middle doesn't matter.  

Take this ludicrous example:
50, 78, 80
50, 52, 80

Game gets a 79, both people get the same points.  

Now you might be thinking, that doesn't matter!  

Or you might be thinking, "how can I fix this?"  
And boy do I have the solution for you.  

(100-(high-low)) /
abs(actual - mid) + 1

This has the benefit, that if you get the score exactly on:
high=low = mid=actual, you get 100 points.  

Really big ranges will give you a smaller score, and the closer your mid is to the actual will give you a bigger score.

If you don't want decimals, just take the floor!  

Legend

To be honest, I feel like it's weird that in the scheme of things the middle doesn't matter.  

Take this ludicrous example:
50, 78, 80
50, 52, 80

Game gets a 79, both people get the same points.  

Now you might be thinking, that doesn't matter!  

Or you might be thinking, "how can I fix this?"  
And boy do I have the solution for you.  

(100-(high-low)) /
abs(actual - mid) + 1

This has the benefit, that if you get the score exactly on:
high=low = mid=actual, you get 100 points.  

Really big ranges will give you a smaller score, and the closer your mid is to the actual will give you a bigger score.

If you don't want decimals, just take the floor!  
With the current rules, only the closest person gets points. The middle is the most important prediction since it's the only way to get points.

the-pi-guy

With the current rules, only the closest person gets points. The middle is the most important prediction since it's the only way to get points.
Oh, I misread it.   ::)

the-pi-guy

RESULTS WILL NOW BE SCORED SO THAT AN OVERALL WINNER CAN BE DETERMINED AT THE END OF THE YEAR. IF YOU HAVE THE CLOSEST PREDICTION, YOU EARN POINTS: SCORE +=100-(high prediction-low prediction)*2. IF THE FINAL MC FALLS OUTSIDE YOUR HIGH AND LOW PREDICTIONS, YOU LOSE POINTS: SCORE -=50.


I kind of put the two things together and thought that if the score was in the range, they get those points, and if it isn't they lose 50.  But that makes sense.  

Not as cool as my scoring, but eh.   8)