God of War |OT| Now on PC

Started by Xevross, Apr 11, 2018, 05:21 PM

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the-pi-guy

Do you know the plots or are you going in blind?
I don't know the plots, but I also don't know when I'll be getting the game...  :(

I think I will get the previous games first.  But we'll see.  

Legend

Holy balls! Its gone up 3 places on the all time list. Only one place below The Last of Us now! Its as close to 96 as it is 94. Insane.
It's as close to 93 as it is to 97. Believe!

the-pi-guy

Assuming I counted accurately, 11 games to pass to get to 96.  It's just below The Last of Us

Xevross

Assuming I counted accurately, 11 games to pass to get to 96.  It's just below The Last of Us
Yeah. Games will be more closely distributed the lower the score though. So if its 10 below and 11 above, its probably more like only 1/3 of the way through rather than half.

Legend

From a purely mathematical point of view, how much more prestigious is a 95 vs a 94? 10/10 is the max score so it's a lot harder to get higher averages.

I don't know the plots, but I also don't know when I'll be getting the game...  :(

I think I will get the previous games first.  But we'll see.  
I bought the game but I'm not sure when I'll play it either   :'(


GOW:A servers still up? You should play that!!!

Xevross

From a purely mathematical point of view, how much more prestigious is a 95 vs a 94? 10/10 is the max score so it's a lot harder to get higher averages.
Opencritic's chart is a good way to look at this. 94-96 is in the top 0.1% of games while 91-93 is top 0.4% of games. This means there's 3x more games in the 91-93 range than 94-96.

If you want to compare closer though, metacritic's all time chart has 55 games at 94, while only 20 at 95. So almost 3x more rare there too. That's actually the biggest jump as well.

92: 80 games
93: 57 games
94: 55 games
95: 21 games
96: 21 games
97: 15 games
98: 4 games
99: 1 game

94 --> 95 is quite a big difference it seems, using actual data.

Legend

Opencritic's chart is a good way to look at this. 94-96 is in the top 0.1% of games while 91-93 is top 0.4% of games. This means there's 3x more games in the 91-93 range than 94-96.

If you want to compare closer though, metacritic's all time chart has 55 games at 94, while only 20 at 95. So almost 3x more rare there too. That's actually the biggest jump as well.

92: 80 games
93: 57 games
94: 55 games
95: 21 games
96: 21 games
97: 15 games
98: 4 games
99: 1 game

94 --> 95 is quite a big difference it seems, using actual data.
That's mostly a measure of how common good games are. You'd instead probably need to do it with a probability curve assuming fully random reviews.

Basically a measure of how many possible review configurations could land on the final score.

IE roll two 5 sided dice. What's the probability they add up to 10? It's lower than the probability they add up to 9.

Xevross

That's mostly a measure of how common good games are. You'd instead probably need to do it with a probability curve assuming fully random reviews.

Basically a measure of how many possible review configurations could land on the final score.

IE roll two 5 sided dice. What's the probability they add up to 10? It's lower than the probability they add up to 9.
Yeah but you'd have to model the curves off something. Well, of course it would be a gaussian but what exact shape, who knows.

Okay fine. So looking at publications on meta, 74 seems to be the average. Now the majority of games are less than 98, so I set standard deviation to 8.

P(x>93)=0.00877 or 0.877% are higher than 93. P(x>94)=0.00621, or 0.621%. P(x>95)=0.00433, or 0.433%.

s.d. is probably different but eh that's good enough. There you go.

0.256% of games at 94, and 0.621% of games are above them. 0.188% of games at 95 meta, and 0.433% above them.

Edit: Set s.d. to 7 and you get 0.118% at 94, 0.214% above them. 0.079% at 95 and 0.135% above them.

Dr. Pezus

Yeah but you'd have to model the curves off something. Well, of course it would be a gaussian but what exact shape, who knows.

Okay fine. So looking at publications on meta, 74 seems to be the average. Now the majority of games are less than 98, so I set standard deviation to 8.

P(x>93)=0.00877 or 0.877% are higher than 93. P(x>94)=0.00621, or 0.621%. P(x>95)=0.00433, or 0.433%.

s.d. is probably different but eh that's good enough. There you go.

0.256% of games at 94, and 0.621% of games are above them. 0.188% of games at 95 meta, and 0.433% above them.

#EverydayMath

Xevross

#EverydayMath
I added an edit. standard dev. of 7 seems more likely.

Basically top 0.332% of games vs. top 0.214%. About 1/3 of the data in 94-100 range is in 94 itself, so 95 is quite a lot better,

Legend

Yeah but you'd have to model the curves off something. Well, of course it would be a gaussian but what exact shape, who knows.

Okay fine. So looking at publications on meta, 74 seems to be the average. Now the majority of games are less than 98, so I set standard deviation to 8.

P(x>93)=0.00877 or 0.877% are higher than 93. P(x>94)=0.00621, or 0.621%. P(x>95)=0.00433, or 0.433%.

s.d. is probably different but eh that's good enough. There you go.

0.256% of games at 94, and 0.621% of games are above them. 0.188% of games at 95 meta, and 0.433% above them.

Edit: Set s.d. to 7 and you get 0.118% at 94, 0.214% above them. 0.079% at 95 and 0.135% above them.
That's not what I was meaning, but it's probably way more useful so I'll take it!

Xevross

That's not what I was meaning, but it's probably way more useful so I'll take it!
Gaussians are always the answer.

Xevross

l--------------------94----------------------l-------------95-------------l--------96--------l-----97-----l--98--l-99-l100

Well here's my (stupidly accurate for what this is) visual representation. You're welcome.

Man I have no life.

Dr. Pezus

l--------------------94----------------------l-------------95-------------l--------96--------l-----97-----l--98--l-99-l100

Well here's my (stupidly accurate for what this is) visual representation. You're welcome.

Man I have no life.
98+ is GOAT

the-pi-guy

l--------------------94----------------------l-------------95-------------l--------96--------l-----97-----l--98--l-99-l100

Well here's my (stupidly accurate for what this is) visual representation. You're welcome.

Man I have no life.
Nerd!

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